But when you see Chinese government hacking major US companies, then I figure they don't completely suck at internet espionage.
(...)
Look at Russias situation. Look at the journalists that have mysteriously died in the past and look at Russia trying to silence any criticism and any kind of opposition.
Yep, they are indeed arguments to assume R and C are spying. I was just wondering if there was ever any case where it was like 99% certain that C or R had spied. Or if there were ever any defectors, like there have been in the Cold War.
The US even said they are not on par with China when some company was hacked and that they will need to upgrade their defense against hackers and secure important data better than they are right now.
Hehe, I really don't believe that, it is a very nice way to reserve more money for development of such programs.
But the comparance to nuclear weapons is not bad. Having more "power" owning them although they are morally questionable is comparable to using a program like prism, isn't it?
Yes, and I'm going on some sort of a stretch here, but I think the comparsion is even deeper.
The Cold WarUS and USSR (the parties in the Cold War) invest lots and lots of money into nuclear weaponry. They never actually use it because it will mean total destruction of the world, but since everyone is so afraid of the other party, the people think it's a good thing that their government has nuclear weapons. This sort of stays the same for 30-35 years. The costs of the nuclear programs rise exponentially in the meantime. After those 35 years, protest is growing in several countries. People don't see the advantage of having nuclear weaponry anymore, they just see the danger of it. Because of a weakness in the economy of one of the parties, it collapses and the Cold War is over.
The Information warUS, Russia and China (the parties in the Information War) invest lots and lots of money into internet spying programs. They actually use it because it it's not dangerous in any way, and since everyone is so afraid of the other parties, the people think it's a good thing that their government has internet spying programs. This sort of stays the same for 30-35 years. The costs of the internet spying programs rise exponentially in the meantime. After those 35 years, protest is growing in several countries. People don't see the advantage of having internet spying programs anymore, they just see the danger of it. Because of a weakness in the economy of one of the parties, it collapses and the Information War is over. Or: it continues with the two remaining parties until one of those collapses.
Differences being that
1) Using spying systems cost less lives as opposed to lots of lives when using nuclear weaponry
2) The collapsing economy will not be Russia this time, it will be the US.
"Educated guessing" this, of course. History never repeats itself, and seeing the future is not something I am capable of